Date: 16/8/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Telstar - FC Eindhoven
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: FC Eindhoven +0 (DNB)
Eindhoven have started the season
well. The first game they drawn at home against title-candidate
VVV-Venlo. The second game they beaten last year title contender Helmond
Sport with 1-2. This is a different Eindhoven than last season, coach
JP de Jong is very demanding he wants to play for the highest places.
Also they did some good transfers.
I have seen Telstar play against Jong Ajax and they were not good
at all. Last week they have beaten Emmen at home, but Emmen is not one
of the top clubs. I think Eindhoven can surprise this season and have a
big chance to win this match. I think they should be the favourites for
I have did some statiscal research and have made my own odds. It is
the first time I did it. This odds are based on the first two games, as I
believe teams are always different from a season before due to
transfers, different coach, injuries, momentum and different
atmosphere.The sample size is not great ofcourse, only two games played
but I think they give a realistic view. As I said it is the first time
so I can have made mistakes and also I did not have the home advantage
in the calculations as it is something I have to look into further.
My odds for this game:
5,49 - 4,72 - 1,65
The odds for Eindhoven to win are 1.65 and so I think Eindhoven to
win represents great value. Cause the odds are so high I will take the
Asian handicap +0 (DNB) so it is a draw we get our stake refunded.