vrijdag 16 augustus 2013

Telstar - FC Eindhoven (Jupiler League) 16/8/2013 20:00

Date: 16/8/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Telstar - FC Eindhoven
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: FC Eindhoven +0 (DNB)
Odds: 2.22
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Eindhoven have started the season well. The first game they drawn at home against title-candidate VVV-Venlo. The second game they beaten last year title contender Helmond Sport with 1-2. This is a different Eindhoven than last season, coach JP de Jong is very demanding he wants to play for the highest places. Also they did some good transfers.

I have seen Telstar play against Jong Ajax and they were not good at all. Last week they have beaten Emmen at home, but Emmen is not one of the top clubs. I think Eindhoven can surprise this season and have a big chance to win this match. I think they should be the favourites for this match.


I have did some statiscal research and have made my own odds. It is the first time I did it. This odds are based on the first two games, as I believe teams are always different from a season before due to transfers, different coach, injuries, momentum and different atmosphere.The sample size is not great ofcourse, only two games played but I think they give a realistic view. As I said it is the first time so I can have made mistakes and also I did not have the home advantage in the calculations as it is something I have to look into further.

My odds for this game:
5,49 - 4,72 - 1,65

The odds for Eindhoven to win are 1.65 and so I think Eindhoven to win represents great value. Cause the odds are so high I will take the Asian handicap +0 (DNB) so it is a draw we get our stake refunded.

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