AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam (KNVB Beker) 25/9/2013 20:00

Date: 25/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam
Competition: KNVB Beker
Pick: Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 AH
Odds: 2.18
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


Sparta will visit Alkmaar tonight. The hosts lost this weekend their away match against NAC Breda after European obligations. Gert-Jan Verbeek is known for his rough training methods, so his players are always a bit exhausted when playing much matches in the beginning of the season. Sparta won a difficult away-match against Fortuna. Sparta finally played a good match and seem to be in the momentum. I think this match can be close, a suprise for Sparta is not unthinkable. Sparta is top Jupiler, AZ subtop Eredivisie. I think +1.5AH represents a bit value. 

ADO Den Haag- NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 19:45

Date: 21/9/2013 19:45 (UTC+1)
Match: ADO Den Haag- NEC Nijmegen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: ADO to win
Odds: 2.11
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 10/10


Battle of the bottom. ADO have started the season not as they hoped.
NEC are as expected on the 18th place of the Eredivisie. ADO has much more quality than NEC.


ADO is usually strong at home and will want to win again.

Only problem is the pitch. Last week the game was called off due to too much rain. Still the pitch is not very good. Under 2.5 goals would be an option, but I will wait for this if I am seeing the game on TV, after the first 2 minutes. 

Roda JC - SC Heerenveen (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 18:45

Date: 21/9/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Roda JC - SC Heerenveen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Heerenveen +0 (DNB)
Odds: 2.10
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


Heerenveen has a good squad with Finbogasson, van la Parra, Eikrem etc.
Roda does not have a great squad. Only players who are above average are Donald, Fledderus and Hocher.


Roda will miss their targetman Frank Demouge, due to a suspension. Heerenveen has a better squad than Roda. Roda also lost last week with 1-5 at home from relegation candidates NAC Breda. This has been a huge mental blown for them. All of this makes me I like Heerenveen DNB.

Heracles Almelo - FC Twente (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 18:45

Date: 21/9/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Heracles Almelo - FC Twente
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Heracles +1 AH
Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: Pinnacle Sports
Stake: 10/10

The derby of Tukkerland. Heracles and Twente ar rivals of each other.
Heracles have lost Lerin Duarte in the transferwindow. It seemed Heracles would have a tough season but Heracles have an excellent scouting and always get some talented young players. Tonight signings Amoah and Kangaskollka are not available, they will be replaced by striker Uth who has came from Heerenveen. Also Bel Hassani and Cziommer are excellent signings. Bryan Linnsen was the best man in Heracles last games.
Twente are having a great squad and are showing a bit of improvement lately from last season. Twente is always poor away and also they have drawn the last three matches they played away at Heracles.
Tonight also the artificial pitch from Heracles will play a role and of course the home support who whill cheer Heracles forward for a victory over their rivals.

Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam (Jupiler League) 20/9/2013 20:00

Date: 20/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: Sparta +0 AH
Odds: 2.06
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 10/10

Bogers did not start well with Sparta. We (I am a Sparta supporter) have only 12 points after 8 games.
Fortuna-Sparta is always a tough match for Sparta. Sparta have to win to not lose the sight of the top and lose the faith of the fans. If Sparta loses tonight, everyone (sponsors and suppporters) will start a revolution to get Bogers fired. Also the pressure on director Vloet is building. A victory is essential for Sparta! Also I just heard the line-up which has some changes from previous matches and I have faith in this line-up.

Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur Leeuwarden (Eredivisie) 20/9/2013 20:00

Date: 20/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur Leeuwarden
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Go Ahead Eagles to win
Odds: 2.25
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10

Match between most named candidates for relegation. Both have started surprisingly well. Especially Go Ahead have shown some great play. Go Ahead are very strong at home, in de Adelaarshorst is always a great atmosphere

Estoril - Sevilla (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Estoril - Sevilla
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Sevilla to win
Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10


Sevilla do not have to travel far for this match. The match therefore will be decided on pure quality. Sevilla have more quality so I think the Sevilla win represents some value.

Lazio Roma - Lechia Warschau (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Lazio Roma - Lechia Warschau
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Lazio is always strong at home and I believe they will win this match. Look at the screenshot below and see that they have won most of their games with a clean sheet.

Maccabi Haifa - AZ Alkmaar (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Maccabi Haifa - AZ Alkmaar
Competition: Europa League
Pick: AZ Alkmaar +0.5
Odds: 2.07
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


AZ won their last match easily with 3-0 from Go Ahead Eagles. In the previous round they won the first match away impressive but lost the last game which was very chaotic and played in two parts as the stadium was on fire during the game.
I think it is possible for AZ to grab some points to Holland.
I have seen the highlights of Maccabi Haifa last round match and they dominated and certainly do not have a bad team. Altough I believe the AZ squad has more quality. +0.5 represents some value in my opinion.

Zulte Waregem - Wigan Athletic (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte Waregem - Wigan Athletic
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Zulte Waregem +0
Odds: 1.97
 Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10


Match will be played in Club Brugges stadium.
I have heard from a few people in England , Wigan are poor this season. Zulte, after a slow start of the season against PSV in CL Qualifiers, they are back in form and have beaten Anderlecht. Also some class players like Thorgan Hazard, Habibou, de Fauw and Kums.

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bordeaux (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Eintracht Frankfurt - Bordeaux
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Bordeaux +0.75
Odds: 2.14
Bookmaker: 188bet
Stake: 10/10


I know Frankfurt are good in recent times and Bordeaux is not the Bordeaux it used to be. But Bordeaux still has a good squad. I think this line represents value.

Valencia CF - Swansea City (Europa League ) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Valencia CF - Swansea City
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Swansea City +0.5
Odds: 2.22
 Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10




Valencia have lost their last three official matches. I think this match will be a close call.

PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Paddy Power
Stake: 10/10


Although PSV are missing Karim Rekik due to an ankle injury I think PSV have a good chance to maintain the nil tonight against Ludogorets.

FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45

Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam
Competition: Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Barcelona is the huge favorite for this game (1.10). Normally before the transferwindow I would say Ajax would have a chance, but after the loss of Eriksen and Alderweireld the Ajax team will be to weak in my opinion. Other loss is Siem de Jong who had a collapsed lung, but reports are saying he is recovered and will start in the first eleven tonight. He certainly is not fully fit yet. Ajax had a poor performance against PEC Zwolle. Zwolle certainly is a good team but Ajax only managed to produce 3 shots on target. Ajax have get replacement in Duarte for Eriksen, he has a lot of potential but if he will be ready to show it against Barcelona? I think it is too early for him.
Sigthorsson is a real striker, not at all a Ajax player in my opinion, his techinal ability is poor, he has good striker qualities but not the technical skills to do well in the Ajax-system. Often you see attacks stops at him because a ball springs off his foot. He also was replaced by Hoesen in the last game. Hoesen is a great player with a great potential but he is not in great form lately.
I hope Ajax will surprise me tonight and give Barça a bit of resistance, but I am pessimistic. It would be good for UEFA-coefficients which Holland badly need. But I think this price represents value, I think Ajax have a 20% chance of scoring, so I decided to turn off my emotions and place the bet.

Olympique Marseille - Arsenal (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45

Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Olympique Marseille - Arsenal
Competition: Champions League
Pick: Aaron Ramsey Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: 7.50
Bookmaker: Betfred
Stake: 10/10

 Normally I only focus on match odds, over/unders and for a special system on First Goalscorer but I think I have found some value in this price. As you have seen recently Aaron Ramsey finally has become the player Wenger saw in him and I am happy with that as an Arsenal fan. He is great in midfield en also scoring lots of goals lately.
 He scored one or more goals in three out of Arsenals total of six offical matches played. Also he scored in two of the three offical away matches Arsenal played this season. Ramsey is a different player than in past years and I believe this price is huge value. Based on his form it should be around 2.0 maybe cause he is a midfielder 3.0. Although Cazorla is injured, most bookies priced him up around 3.5-4.0. This strenghts me in the believe this price is value.

Other tip in this match was yesterday given on Twitter. See the tweet below.

Champions League: Marseille - Arsenal : Arsenal to win @ 2.60 (Tempobet) Stake: 10/10 #sportstradernltip
— Dutch Investor (@SportstraderNL) September 17, 2013

Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21 (Euro U21 2015 Qualification) 9/9/2013 18:00

Date: 9/9/2013 18:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21
Competition: Euro U21 2015 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Mybet
Stake: 10/10


I could not believe my eyes when I saw the odds for this selection at Mybet. I recommend to take it. It is huge value!! Other bookies are now pricing it up at 1.20.
Netherlands has a lot more quality and experience! You always have suprises like Hollands draw yesterday against Estonia but this is superb value!!

Estonia - Netherlands (WC 2014 Qualification) 5/9/2013 20:30

Date: 5/9/2013 20:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Estonia - Netherlands
Competition: WC 2014 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.80
Bookmaker: Tipico
Stake: 10/10

 On paper Dutch squad  is much stronger. The Dutch defence normally consists of Janmaat, De Vrij, Martins Indi and Blind. De Vrij and Martins Indi  are making lots of mistakes in recent months at Feyenoord but are still peforming very well in the Dutch squad. Only thing I can see is van Gaal will bring in Bruma who did well at PSV, but personally I think he will wait till Rekik is fit again so he can work on a good base for the World Cup. Also Willems is an option to replace Blind, Willems is back at his old level, maybe even better. Last year he peformed very bad and looked like a spoiled child. Because of his attitude and lack of discipline he was also dismissed of every Dutch national squad (including U21 and U19 squads), he seems to be back to 'normal'. 

The Netherlands have had a clean sheet against most of the teams in qualification. Estonia only managed to score against Andorra, the weakest link in this group.

PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur Leeuwarden (Eredivisie) 31/8/2013 20:45

Date: 31/8/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur Leeuwarden
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10

 I am impressed with the new PSV team this season. They have turned around in less than three months from the most hated team in Holland to the most praised team. They have a great attack. Last year they also had a great attack, they scored more than 100 goals, but they ended not as champions cause their defence was always very dangerous and they conceded almost every match.
PSV have made smart transfers and bought former wonderkid Jeffrey Bruma from Chelsea, whose carreer was not going like he imagined. Also they loaned 18 year old Karim Rekik from Manchester City. Together with 18 year old Jetro Willems, a left back who made his debut at the age of 16 at Sparta Rotterdam (and almost made a transfer to Inter Milan at the time) and Brenet or Arias they form the defence. Especially the central duo impresses and are playing like 28year old with much experience. Also Jetro Willlems who was the youngest player to play on a European Championship in 2012 is getting back to his old level, last season he looked like he a spoiled player, he was also left out of all Dutch national squads, even the U19 team, and looks like he has his discipline and mentality back. Willems is one of the greatest talents of the world on left back, his attacking skills are already world class but he has to work on his defensive skills. He seemed to realized this and is showing improvement in the early games of the season.

I have made this bets already a few times this season when PSV this season and I think the bookies are basing this price on last season defence. Cambuur is one of the weaker teams in the Eredivisie. I expect PSV to win here with a clean sheet (again).

AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 28/8/2013 18:30

Date: 28/8/2013 18:30 (UTC+1)
Match: AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: PSV Eindhoven +0.5
Odds: 2.36
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


Last week was a pretty exciting game. PSV was again playing with the joy like they are doing the whole season and created lots of chances. Milan also create chances but the goal was scored after a horrible personal foul from Memphis Depay. Last week wonderkid Zakaria Bakkali was injured, the expectation is he will return in the squad tonight. He surely will add some class and surprises to the PSV attack. The first leg ended in 1-1. This means PSV needs a victory or a score draw (no 0-0) to go trough. This Milan squad surely still has a lot of quality but not that much in the times of Seedorf, Kaka, Ronaldo and Maldini when they won the Champions League. PSV is already impressing me the whole season, last week they proved they also can play against strong teams, I would not be surprised if PSV manage to get a draw or victory here.


Trading tip:
Lay AC Milan (1.33) or Back PSV Eindhoven (4.05) in the To Qualify market on Betfair. If PSV scores a goal this certainly will trade higher in play!

Atromitos - AZ Alkmaar (Europa League) 22/8/2013 18:30

Date: 22/8/2013 18:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Atromitos - AZ Alkmaar
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Pick: AZ Alkmaar -0.25 AH
Odds: 2.18
Bookmaker: Pinnacle Sports
Stake: 10/10


No time for write-up. Will follow later, if I have the time..