Posts tonen met het label eindhoven. Alle posts tonen
Posts tonen met het label eindhoven. Alle posts tonen

woensdag 28 augustus 2013

AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 28/8/2013 18:30

Date: 28/8/2013 18:30 (UTC+1)
Match: AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: PSV Eindhoven +0.5
Odds: 2.36
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


Last week was a pretty exciting game. PSV was again playing with the joy like they are doing the whole season and created lots of chances. Milan also create chances but the goal was scored after a horrible personal foul from Memphis Depay. Last week wonderkid Zakaria Bakkali was injured, the expectation is he will return in the squad tonight. He surely will add some class and surprises to the PSV attack. The first leg ended in 1-1. This means PSV needs a victory or a score draw (no 0-0) to go trough. This Milan squad surely still has a lot of quality but not that much in the times of Seedorf, Kaka, Ronaldo and Maldini when they won the Champions League. PSV is already impressing me the whole season, last week they proved they also can play against strong teams, I would not be surprised if PSV manage to get a draw or victory here.


Trading tip:
Lay AC Milan (1.33) or Back PSV Eindhoven (4.05) in the To Qualify market on Betfair. If PSV scores a goal this certainly will trade higher in play!





vrijdag 16 augustus 2013

Telstar - FC Eindhoven (Jupiler League) 16/8/2013 20:00

Date: 16/8/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Telstar - FC Eindhoven
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: FC Eindhoven +0 (DNB)
Odds: 2.22
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Eindhoven have started the season well. The first game they drawn at home against title-candidate VVV-Venlo. The second game they beaten last year title contender Helmond Sport with 1-2. This is a different Eindhoven than last season, coach JP de Jong is very demanding he wants to play for the highest places. Also they did some good transfers.


I have seen Telstar play against Jong Ajax and they were not good at all. Last week they have beaten Emmen at home, but Emmen is not one of the top clubs. I think Eindhoven can surprise this season and have a big chance to win this match. I think they should be the favourites for this match.

Statistical

I have did some statiscal research and have made my own odds. It is the first time I did it. This odds are based on the first two games, as I believe teams are always different from a season before due to transfers, different coach, injuries, momentum and different atmosphere.The sample size is not great ofcourse, only two games played but I think they give a realistic view. As I said it is the first time so I can have made mistakes and also I did not have the home advantage in the calculations as it is something I have to look into further.


My odds for this game:
5,49 - 4,72 - 1,65

The odds for Eindhoven to win are 1.65 and so I think Eindhoven to win represents great value. Cause the odds are so high I will take the Asian handicap +0 (DNB) so it is a draw we get our stake refunded.

woensdag 14 augustus 2013

PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles (Eredivisie) 17/8/2013 18:45

Date: 17/8/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.25
Bookmaker: William Hill
Stake: 10/10

PSV new defence is doing great. Bruma and Rekik are really stable except one mistake against ADO. PSV won easily last week against NEC and I think GAE is a similar level. PSV have had a clean sheet this season in all games except the game against ADO.


zaterdag 10 augustus 2013

PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) 10/8/2013 20:45

Date: 10/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.95
Bookmaker: William Hill
Stake: 10/10

PSV started the season with almost a whole new squad and it looks like it is paying off. The most improvement is in defence, with Bruma and Rekik you both two one of the most promising defenders of the Netherlands and they are playing with each other like they are 29 years old. I expect a big PSV win with no NEC goals. PSV had a clean sheet two times against Zulte-Waregem. Against ADO they did not, but this was an difficult away game. PSV playing at home so big chance they will keep the 0. Also NEC was very poor against Groningen at home, they have bought the Schottish Premier League topscorer, but the rest of the team is under average, I think they will get a difficult season if they do not any transfers.

woensdag 7 augustus 2013

Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 7/8/2013 20:45

Date: 7/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: PSV -1 AH
Odds: 2.20
Bookmaker: Betfair Exchange
Stake: 10/10


PSV were very impressive against Zulte last week. The game ended 2-0 but the score could have been a lot higher. Also the defence was very impressive with the new central duo Rekik and Bruma. This weekend PSV had a impressive performance in the first half in the away game against ADO, first half ended 0-3. Second half PSV was sloppy and Bruma made a horrible mistake.

Important for this game to know is that Zulte is playing in their rivals Anderlechts stadium as their own stadium is not good enough for CL. There are not many tickets sold so the game will be played in an half-empty stadium, also half of the tickets sold is to PSV-fans. So PSV is basically playing a game on neutral venue.

If PSV stay focused they will not have any problems with Zulte and should win this easily and keep a clean sheet. Therefore, also because Zulte has not the home advantage, I think it is surely not impossible for PSV to have a repeat from last week and win this easily with 2 goals difference. With the -1 line you also have the cover if PSV only wins with 1 goal difference.

I recommend placing this bet at the Asian Handicap market at Betfair. Betfair is at the moment only charging 0.5% comission for this market and you will get most times a better price.

Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 7/8/2013 20:45

Date: 7/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.42
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


PSV were very impressive against Zulte last week. The game ended 2-0 but the score could have been a lot higher. Also the defence was very impressive with the new central duo Rekik and Bruma. This weekend PSV had a impressive performance in the first half in the away game against ADO, first half ended 0-3. Second half PSV was sloppy and Bruma made a horrible mistake.

Important for this game to know is that Zulte is playing in their rivals Anderlechts stadium as their own stadium is not good enough for CL. There are not many tickets sold so the game will be played in an half-empty stadium, also half of the tickets sold is to PSV-fans. So PSV is basically playing a game on neutral venue.


If PSV stay focused they will not have any problems with Zulte and should win this easily and keep a clean sheet. Therefore, also because Zulte has not the home advantage, the BTTS NO pick represents value.

vrijdag 2 augustus 2013

ADO Den Haag - PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) 3/8/13 18:45

Date: 3/8/13 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: ADO Den Haag - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Both teams to score (BTTS) - NO
Odds: 2.50
Bookmaker: William Hill/Betvictor
Stake: 10/10

 PSV was very impressive against Zulte-Waregem this week. No one expected anything, cause of the leaving of all keyplayers. But in fact, it looks like the lots of changes did PSV good. In attack they have some exciting youngsters. In midfield they won the battle for Adam Maher and grabbed some experience with Schaars. The biggest win for PSV is in defence, last season the defence was every week very worrieng. In fact, PSV scored more than 100 goals but conceded a lot. I think if PSV had this defence last season they would became champions. The defence looks with Rekik and Bruma now very solid. ADO Den Haag has a squad that love goals, especially at home. Mike van Duinen is very dangerous, but I think there is a great chance PSV will concede no goals. Bigger chance than the 2.5 suggests. I suggest to take it now as I think it is possible this will drop.