Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Valencia CF - Swansea City
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Swansea City +0.5
Odds: 2.22
Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10
Valencia have lost their last three official matches. I think this match will be a close call.
donderdag 19 september 2013
PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00
Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Paddy Power
Stake: 10/10
Although PSV are missing Karim Rekik due to an ankle injury I think PSV have a good chance to maintain the nil tonight against Ludogorets.
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Paddy Power
Stake: 10/10
Although PSV are missing Karim Rekik due to an ankle injury I think PSV have a good chance to maintain the nil tonight against Ludogorets.
woensdag 18 september 2013
Champions League 2013/2014: Trading the Winners market
I have taken my opening positions in the Champions League 2013/2014 market. Do not follow this blindly, this is only to document my thoughts. Only follow if you are experienced. These are not straight bets, they are to trade. If you have questions, please tweet me @SportstraderNL
I have taken the following positions. My initial tought is to leave this after the group phase. Ofcourse I will manage this and will give updates after each matchday. I expect all to qualify for the second round and are priced up bigger than they should be. I have taken Juventus after their point loss yesterday against Kopenhagen.
I have taken the following positions. My initial tought is to leave this after the group phase. Ofcourse I will manage this and will give updates after each matchday. I expect all to qualify for the second round and are priced up bigger than they should be. I have taken Juventus after their point loss yesterday against Kopenhagen.
FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45
Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam
Competition: Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10
Barcelona is the huge favorite for this game (1.10). Normally before the transferwindow I would say Ajax would have a chance, but after the loss of Eriksen and Alderweireld the Ajax team will be to weak in my opinion. Other loss is Siem de Jong who had a collapsed lung, but reports are saying he is recovered and will start in the first eleven tonight. He certainly is not fully fit yet. Ajax had a poor performance against PEC Zwolle. Zwolle certainly is a good team but Ajax only managed to produce 3 shots on target. Ajax have get replacement in Duarte for Eriksen, he has a lot of potential but if he will be ready to show it against Barcelona? I think it is too early for him.
Sigthorsson is a real striker, not at all a Ajax player in my opinion, his techinal ability is poor, he has good striker qualities but not the technical skills to do well in the Ajax-system. Often you see attacks stops at him because a ball springs off his foot. He also was replaced by Hoesen in the last game. Hoesen is a great player with a great potential but he is not in great form lately.
I hope Ajax will surprise me tonight and give Barça a bit of resistance, but I am pessimistic. It would be good for UEFA-coefficients which Holland badly need. But I think this price represents value, I think Ajax have a 20% chance of scoring, so I decided to turn off my emotions and place the bet.
Match: FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam
Competition: Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10
Barcelona is the huge favorite for this game (1.10). Normally before the transferwindow I would say Ajax would have a chance, but after the loss of Eriksen and Alderweireld the Ajax team will be to weak in my opinion. Other loss is Siem de Jong who had a collapsed lung, but reports are saying he is recovered and will start in the first eleven tonight. He certainly is not fully fit yet. Ajax had a poor performance against PEC Zwolle. Zwolle certainly is a good team but Ajax only managed to produce 3 shots on target. Ajax have get replacement in Duarte for Eriksen, he has a lot of potential but if he will be ready to show it against Barcelona? I think it is too early for him.
Sigthorsson is a real striker, not at all a Ajax player in my opinion, his techinal ability is poor, he has good striker qualities but not the technical skills to do well in the Ajax-system. Often you see attacks stops at him because a ball springs off his foot. He also was replaced by Hoesen in the last game. Hoesen is a great player with a great potential but he is not in great form lately.
I hope Ajax will surprise me tonight and give Barça a bit of resistance, but I am pessimistic. It would be good for UEFA-coefficients which Holland badly need. But I think this price represents value, I think Ajax have a 20% chance of scoring, so I decided to turn off my emotions and place the bet.
Olympique Marseille - Arsenal (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45
Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Olympique Marseille - Arsenal
Competition: Champions League
Pick: Aaron Ramsey Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: 7.50
Bookmaker: Betfred
Stake: 10/10
Normally I only focus on match odds, over/unders and for a special system on First Goalscorer but I think I have found some value in this price. As you have seen recently Aaron Ramsey finally has become the player Wenger saw in him and I am happy with that as an Arsenal fan. He is great in midfield en also scoring lots of goals lately.
He scored one or more goals in three out of Arsenals total of six offical matches played. Also he scored in two of the three offical away matches Arsenal played this season. Ramsey is a different player than in past years and I believe this price is huge value. Based on his form it should be around 2.0 maybe cause he is a midfielder 3.0. Although Cazorla is injured, most bookies priced him up around 3.5-4.0. This strenghts me in the believe this price is value.
Other tip in this match was yesterday given on Twitter. See the tweet below.
Match: Olympique Marseille - Arsenal
Competition: Champions League
Pick: Aaron Ramsey Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: 7.50
Bookmaker: Betfred
Stake: 10/10
Normally I only focus on match odds, over/unders and for a special system on First Goalscorer but I think I have found some value in this price. As you have seen recently Aaron Ramsey finally has become the player Wenger saw in him and I am happy with that as an Arsenal fan. He is great in midfield en also scoring lots of goals lately.
He scored one or more goals in three out of Arsenals total of six offical matches played. Also he scored in two of the three offical away matches Arsenal played this season. Ramsey is a different player than in past years and I believe this price is huge value. Based on his form it should be around 2.0 maybe cause he is a midfielder 3.0. Although Cazorla is injured, most bookies priced him up around 3.5-4.0. This strenghts me in the believe this price is value.
Other tip in this match was yesterday given on Twitter. See the tweet below.
Champions League: Marseille - Arsenal : Arsenal to win @ 2.60 (Tempobet) Stake: 10/10 #sportstradernltip
— Dutch Investor (@SportstraderNL) September 17, 2013
zaterdag 7 september 2013
Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21 (Euro U21 2015 Qualification) 9/9/2013 18:00
Date: 9/9/2013 18:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21
Competition: Euro U21 2015 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Mybet
Stake: 10/10
I could not believe my eyes when I saw the odds for this selection at Mybet. I recommend to take it. It is huge value!! Other bookies are now pricing it up at 1.20.
Netherlands has a lot more quality and experience! You always have suprises like Hollands draw yesterday against Estonia but this is superb value!!
Match: Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21
Competition: Euro U21 2015 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Mybet
Stake: 10/10
I could not believe my eyes when I saw the odds for this selection at Mybet. I recommend to take it. It is huge value!! Other bookies are now pricing it up at 1.20.
Netherlands has a lot more quality and experience! You always have suprises like Hollands draw yesterday against Estonia but this is superb value!!
donderdag 5 september 2013
Estonia - Netherlands (WC 2014 Qualification) 5/9/2013 20:30
Date: 5/9/2013 20:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Estonia - Netherlands
Competition: WC 2014 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.80
Bookmaker: Tipico
Stake: 10/10
On paper Dutch squad is much stronger. The Dutch defence normally consists of Janmaat, De Vrij, Martins Indi and Blind. De Vrij and Martins Indi are making lots of mistakes in recent months at Feyenoord but are still peforming very well in the Dutch squad. Only thing I can see is van Gaal will bring in Bruma who did well at PSV, but personally I think he will wait till Rekik is fit again so he can work on a good base for the World Cup. Also Willems is an option to replace Blind, Willems is back at his old level, maybe even better. Last year he peformed very bad and looked like a spoiled child. Because of his attitude and lack of discipline he was also dismissed of every Dutch national squad (including U21 and U19 squads), he seems to be back to 'normal'.
The Netherlands have had a clean sheet against most of the teams in qualification. Estonia only managed to score against Andorra, the weakest link in this group.
Match: Estonia - Netherlands
Competition: WC 2014 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.80
Bookmaker: Tipico
Stake: 10/10
On paper Dutch squad is much stronger. The Dutch defence normally consists of Janmaat, De Vrij, Martins Indi and Blind. De Vrij and Martins Indi are making lots of mistakes in recent months at Feyenoord but are still peforming very well in the Dutch squad. Only thing I can see is van Gaal will bring in Bruma who did well at PSV, but personally I think he will wait till Rekik is fit again so he can work on a good base for the World Cup. Also Willems is an option to replace Blind, Willems is back at his old level, maybe even better. Last year he peformed very bad and looked like a spoiled child. Because of his attitude and lack of discipline he was also dismissed of every Dutch national squad (including U21 and U19 squads), he seems to be back to 'normal'.
The Netherlands have had a clean sheet against most of the teams in qualification. Estonia only managed to score against Andorra, the weakest link in this group.
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